Tuesday, 29 December 2020

Bitcoin mining: The next decade of sustainable crypto innovation begins today

Bitcoin mining: The next decade of sustainable crypto innovation begins today

Since the creation of the first cryptocurrency over a decade ago, many have often been skeptical of their legitimacy, with some even dismissing them as a fraud. But in 2020, this paradigm seemed to have shifted. What has emerged is a shared recognition that Bitcoin (BTC) and other digital assets are here to stay and that they will play a key role in the future of global finance. 

This is not some far-fetched vision reserved to crypto-anarchists — financial actors that were traditionally wary of cryptocurrencies are now expressing confidence in their disruptive potential. JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs, for instance, have recently reversed their initial opposition to cryptocurrencies, becoming some of the latest to offer new banking services and offerings for the digital assets market.

Related: Will PayPal’s crypto integration bring crypto to the masses? Experts answer

As optimism and appreciation for the long term potential of cryptocurrencies continue to grow, so will the opportunities for revenue expansion among players within the ecosystem. Bitcoin miners, for instance, saw their topline figures surge by close to 50% on a month-on-month basis in November, as Bitcoin prices rallied more than 60% to above $18,000 over the same time period. Yet, in a highly competitive environment, success has largely been confined to a few industry leaders while remaining elusive to many.

For miners, gaining access to highly advanced mining equipment — one that boasts the highest level of power and cost efficiencies, and the fastest processing speeds — remains the single most critical factor to securing a competitive edge.

Related: Cryptocurrency mining profitability in 2020: Is it possible?

The evolution

The crypto mining industry has undergone a succession of substantial transformations to arrive at today’s advanced technical state. In its early days, mining was done using simple computers without any complex or high-powered devices. General-purpose central processing units, or CPUs, were all it took to produce Bitcoin. This led to a rapid expansion of the Bitcoin network, as the allure of easy money prompted an influx of new entrants — so much so that these first-generation miners were unable to keep pace with demand, rendering them obsolete in just a year’s time.

Graphics processing units were introduced next and made mining Bitcoin more efficient and profitable. Combining several GPUs became a common sight, as miners sought to further increase their mining performance and capabilities while maximizing gains. Despite these advancements, second-generation miners did not stand the test of time due to their high energy consumption and lack of long-term efficacy.

In 2011, field-programmed gate arrays, or FPGAs, emerged as the next logical step of progression. They were fast, highly energy-efficient, offered better performance and easier cooling than their predecessors. Nonetheless, FPGA miners were short-lived and eventually replaced by ASICs, which, until today, remain the dominant technology for the Bitcoin mining industry. Designed, built and optimized for the sole purpose of mining, ASICs are recognized for their superior harmonization of power consumption, performance and cost — around a million times more energy efficient and 50 million times faster in mining Bitcoin than the CPUs used in 2009.

The road ahead

Indeed, crypto mining has come a long way. Aside from performance-related developments, there have also been notable improvements to the environmental aspect of the technology, such as higher energy efficiency and faster hash rates. With a growing emphasis on sustainability, this is a trend likely to continue as chip design providers look to develop innovative solutions to cater to this evolving demand.

Two main developmental areas come to mind. First, the reengineering of current mining hardware to radically utilize less energy; and, second, a reprogramming of current mining chips to allow the use of hybrid energy for optimal cost performance.

Reengineering of the current mining hardware. Already, there are several concepts out in the market that are being researched and rigorously put to test — one of them being the use of photonic chips to perform computing. In theory, the technology appears promising, with two to three orders of magnitude better energy efficiency over current electronic processors. Yet, in reality, it remains inconclusive as to whether the power savings are realizable, particularly as Bitcoin scales. Until then, ASICs and their ongoing enhancements will continue to dominate the crypto mining space and lead the charge on energy efficiency in crypto mining.

Reprogramming of the current mining chips. Against common belief, the crypto mining industry is a relatively green one. As of December 2019, Bitcoin was powered by over 70% of renewable electricity. While the benefits of using renewables are undisputed, the truth is that renewables are an intermittent source of energy and are not always reliable for Bitcoin miners, who have a constant energy requirement. Fossil fuel-based power, on the contrary, serves generally as a more steady source of energy. To strike a balance between the sustainability of the industry and sustainability more broadly, a hybrid model can be adopted, whereby renewables are used predominantly as an energy source, with fossil fuel-based power setting in during production shortages. This entails redesigning and reprogramming current mining chips to enable greater ease of toggling between the two variants of energy sources, with no disruption to the mining processes.

As cryptocurrencies continue to rise in prominence, so will the influx of competition from new providers wanting a slice of the pie. Healthy competition can be positive in that it can lead to more innovation that brings greater efficiencies and maturity to the industry. To fully capitalize on the growth of the nascent cryptocurrency market, however, incumbent chip designers will need to invest further into research and development, particularly in areas of energy optimization and power performance.

Title: Bitcoin mining: The next decade of sustainable crypto innovation begins today
Sourced From: cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-mining-the-next-decade-of-sustainable-crypto-innovation-begins-today
Published Date: Tue, 29 Dec 2020 19:37:00 +0000


Bitcoin mining: The next decade of sustainable crypto innovation begins today

‘Bullish year ahead’ — Bitcoin primed for Q1 2021 gains, strength index suggests

‘Bullish year ahead’ — Bitcoin primed for Q1 2021 gains, strength index suggests

The monthly relative strength index (RSI) of Bitcoin (BTC) shows the dominant cryptocurrency is primed for another rally.

Is 2021 an ideal time for a Bitcoin rally?

The RSI is a momentum indicator that measures whether an asset is overbought or oversold. When the RSI surpasses 75, it signals the asset is overbought, and when it drops below 30, it means the asset is oversold.

A pseudonymous trader known as “Crypto Capo” noted that the monthly RSI of Bitcoin is set to close above 80. Historically, when this has happened, BTC has saw a strong rally afterward.

Although the monthly RSI of Bitcoin is above 80, which is technically oversold, BTC’s RSI tends to become oversold for prolonged periods during a bull cycle.


The monthly RSI of Bitcoin. Source: Crypto Capo

Hence, traders often refer to an oversold RSI on a high time frame chart, like the monthly candle chart, to forecast an extended rally in the short term to medium term. The trader said:

“Monthly candle is about to close above 80. When this happens, bullish trend continues, with an avg. return of 1010.87%. Each cycle is shorter.”

However, the trader emphasized that one indicator cannot accurately predict the price cycle of Bitcoin. Crypto Capo explained that the combination of a few indicators could serve as guidance for the future. He wrote:

“You cannot base a prediction on an indicator. What we do is combining several methods to have a guideline for the future, to see what is more likely. But in the end, we adapt to what the price does in the present.”

“Bullish year ahead”

Traders have differing perspectives on where Bitcoin is headed in 2021, but most traders remain overwhelmingly bullish.

Cointelegraph Markets analyst Michael van de Poppe said he anticipates Bitcoin to reach $65,000 to $85,000 by next year’s end. He stated:

“I’ve got to revise my view on the potential level of $BTC at the end of 2021. Through this recent surge, I’m expecting it to be between $65,000-85,000 at the end of 2021. Bullish year ahead.”

Meanwhile, the options market is pricing in a 22% chance of Bitcoin achieving $120,000 by next year, which could also serve as a potential guideline on where BTC is heading in 2021.

In the short-term, however, some traders are cautious in entering leveraged positions. A pseudonymous trader known as “TheBoot” said the ideal scenario is to wait for Bitcoin to consolidate at $25,000 or enter after the next price upsurge. The trader explained:

“No rush to enter leveraged trades on $btc right here imo. Best would be to wait and long low 25k or even mid 24k. Alternatively, wait for the next leg up and then a dip from there.”

Cointelegraph previously reported that whales have been buying Bitcoin more aggressively since Christmas, which could buoy the mid-term bull case for BTC entering into 2021.

Title: ‘Bullish year ahead’ — Bitcoin primed for Q1 2021 gains, strength index suggests
Sourced From: cointelegraph.com/news/bullish-year-ahead-bitcoin-primed-for-q1-2021-gains-strength-index-suggests
Published Date: Tue, 29 Dec 2020 17:34:19 +0000


‘Bullish year ahead’ — Bitcoin primed for Q1 2021 gains, strength index suggests

Bitcoin price rally cools down as Polkadot gains 34% in first week of ‘altseason’

Bitcoin price rally cools down as Polkadot gains 34% in first week of ‘altseason’

Bitcoin (BTC) fell below $26,000 on Dec. 29 as fresh fallout from Ripple’s threatened U.S. lawsuit was felt throughout crypto markets.


Cryptocurrency market overview. Source: Coin360

BTC price dips as Coinbase halts XRP trading

Data from Cointelegraph Markets, Coin360 and TradingView showed BTC/USD hitting lows of $25,830 during Tuesday trading.

$27,000 support failed to hold overnight, sparking a retest of lower levels which now center on $26,000. At the weekend, Bitcoin hit all-time highs of $28,400 before swiftly reversing.


BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView

The latest losses come as XRP, the fourth-largest cryptocurrency by market cap, hits $0.23 thanks to major U.S. exchange Coinbase opting to suspend trading from next month. The reason is a lawsuit from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), which threatens to classify XRP as an unlicensed security and make trading it all but impossible.

“There is going to be a rangebound construction, after which 2021 will most likely break out again,” Cointelegraph Markets analyst Michaël van de Poppe summarized about Bitcoin’s short-term perspectives in a video update on Monday.

nalyst braced for altseason

Van de Poppe is eyeing altcoins as next in line to see major gains. XRP notwithstanding, the market is already showing signs of life, with Ether (ETH) climbing above $700 for the first time since May 2018 this week.

Another winner on Tuesday was Polkadot (DOT), now the seventh-largest token by market cap, which saw a 22.5% daily rise, capping weekly performance of nearly 34%.

For Van de Poppe, the next “impulse wave” on Bitcoin in 2021 should take the market to $40,000 or $50,000, but “until then, altcoins will most likely do well.”


Bitcoin dominance historical chart. Source: CoinMarketCap

He additionally pointed to a likely top in Bitcoin market cap dominance, which at almost 70% should soon give way to altcoin presence. December tends to see BTC dominance peaks, with 2017, the time of Bitcoin’s first attempt to crack $20,000, a notable comparison.

Title: Bitcoin price rally cools down as Polkadot gains 34% in first week of ‘altseason’
Sourced From: cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-price-rally-cools-down-as-polkadot-gains-34-in-first-week-of-altseason
Published Date: Tue, 29 Dec 2020 08:09:32 +0000


Bitcoin price rally cools down as Polkadot gains 34% in first week of ‘altseason’

Monday, 28 December 2020

Bitcoin whales are buying more aggressively since Christmas, data finds

Bitcoin whales are buying more aggressively since Christmas, data finds

Bitcoin (BTC) whales have been purchasing more because Christmas, on-chain information programs. Source: SantimentWhy are whales continuing to purchase more Bitcoin?According to the experts at Santiment, around $647 million worth of Bitcoin likely moved from small addresses to big addresses.Addresses holding over 1,000 BTC or more are thought about as whales by numerous experts, as 1,000 BTC is equivalent to over $27 million at the current rate at $27,100.” Bitcoin Exchange Whale Ratio. The Asian market and the derivatives market are seeing a boost in buyer demand.Considering that the demand for Bitcoin in the U.S. area market appears to be cooling down, Bitcoin could consolidate for longer with lower volatility.Title: Bitcoin whales are purchasing more strongly given that Christmas, data finds Sourced From: cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-whales-are-buying-more-aggressively-since-christmas-data-findsPublished Date: Mon, 28 Dec 2020 20:00:00 +0000

Bitcoin (BTC) whales have actually been purchasing more considering that Christmas, on-chain data shows. This indicates that high-net-worth investors are continuing to consume up the supply of BTC.It is nearly difficult to segregate institutional investors from private financiers through on-chain information. The trend shows that investors with large capital are increasingly getting in into the Bitcoin market regardless of its rally.Bitcoin large supply holders. Source: SantimentWhy are whales continuing to buy more Bitcoin?According to the analysts at Santiment, around $647 million worth of Bitcoin most likely moved from small addresses to big addresses.Addresses holding over 1,000 BTC or more are considered as whales by lots of experts, as 1,000 BTC is equivalent to over $27 million at the current rate at $27,100. The experts wrote:” Over the last 48 hours since Christmas, #Bitcoin addresses with 1,000 or more $BTC now own 0.13% more of the supply that smaller addresses did previously. This is about 24,158 tokens, which equates to $647.7 M at the time of this writing.” Bitcoin has increased by nearly three-fold given that mid-2020 and the advantage for BTC is arguably limited in the near future. Still, most on-chain data points reveal that less whales are selling across significant exchanges. Ki Young Ju, the CEO at CryptoQuant, stated:” BTC whales appear tired to sell. Less whales are transferring to exchanges. I believe this bull-run will continue as institutional investors keep buying and Exchange Whale Ratio keeps listed below 85%.” Bitcoin Exchange Whale Ratio. Source: CryptoQuantThere are two primary reasons why whales may be collecting Bitcoin at the present rate variety. In spite of Bitcoins overextended rally, whales might think that the psychological barrier at $30,000 would break. If so, choices data suggest $36,000 could be a likely target in the near term.Second, there is no solid factor to prepare for a significant correction splitting up from the CME gap and the high futures market funding rate.But, if Bitcoin combines after each rally, as seen in the past two days, then the funding rate would likely stabilize. When that takes place, the derivatives market would be less overheated, raising the possibility of a brand-new rally.A pseudonymous trader referred to as “Byzantine General” said that the market is presently offering conflicting signals. Both brief and long contract holders are being aggressive, that makes both long and brief squeeze possible. He stated:” Such conflicting signals registered nurse. Both shorts & longs are being extremely aggressive lol. I must most likely rest on my hands.” The likely near term situation is more consolidationTypically, the cost of Bitcoin on Coinbase is greater than Binance and other Tether-reliant exchanges. Nevertheless, in the past week, Bitcoin has been trading slightly lower on Coinbase by around $20 to $30. The space is small, it shows that the U.S., which drove Bitcoins rally throughout December, may be seeing slowing purchaser demand. However, the Asian market and the derivatives market are seeing an increase in purchaser demand.Considering that the demand for Bitcoin in the U.S. spot market appears to be cooling off, Bitcoin could combine for longer with lower volatility.Title: Bitcoin whales are purchasing more aggressively since Christmas, information finds Sourced From: cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-whales-are-buying-more-aggressively-since-christmas-data-findsPublished Date: Mon, 28 Dec 2020 20:00:00 +0000


Bitcoin whales are buying more aggressively since Christmas, data finds

Price analysis 12/28: BTC, ETH, XRP, LTC, BCH, DOT, ADA, BNB, LINK, XLM

Price analysis 12/28: BTC, ETH, XRP, LTC, BCH, DOT, ADA, BNB, LINK, XLM

Several central banks have resorted to unprecedented monetary expansion and aggressive rate cuts to support their respective economies badgered by the coronavirus pandemic. Record liquidity has resulted in sharp rallies in the S&P 500, gold, and Bitcoin (BTC), which suggests that investors are plowing money into assets of their choice.

While gold is way below its all-time high set in August, both the S&P 500 and Bitcoin are near their all-time high.

The last five trading days of the year and the first two of the next year have historically been bullish for the S&P 500, dubbed as the “Santa Rally.” It will be interesting to see whether Bitcoin continues its Santa rally into 2021 with the arrival of institutional investors.


Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360

Another interesting thing to note is that Bitcoin has rallied from a low at $10,377.10 in October to a high at $28,419.94 in December, a 173.87% rally in three months. Although the sentiment is bullish and the institutional inflows are accelerating, every bull market witnesses strong corrections and Bitcoin is unlikely to be an exception.

Traders should protect their paper profits and not get carried away with greed because corrections after vertical rallies can be ruthless. Let’s study the charts of the top-10 cryptocurrencies to determine the overhead levels that may act as a strong resistance that can trigger a correction.

BTC/USD

Bitcoin formed a Doji candlestick pattern on Dec. 27 with a long wick, which suggests profit booking above the $27,000 level. The bulls are again struggling to sustain the price above $27,000 today.


BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If the bears sink the price below $25,819.69, the BTC/USD pair could drop to the immediate support at $24,302.50 and then to the 20-day exponential moving average at $22,951.

A strong bounce off this support will suggest that the uptrend remains intact and the bulls are buying on dips. If that happens, the bulls will attempt to resume the uptrend.

However, if the bears sink the price below the 20-day EMA, it will suggest the formation of a short-term top. The correction could then deepen to the 50-day simple moving average at $19,577.

Contrary to this assumption, if the bulls push and sustain the price above $28,419.94, the pair could rally to $30,000, which is likely to act as a stiff resistance.

ETH/USD

Ether (ETH) rebounded off the 50-day SMA ($566) on Dec. 23, which suggests that the bulls are accumulating on dips. The buyers again pushed the price back above $622.807 on Dec. 25, indicating that the correction could be over.


ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The ETH/USD pair picked up momentum on Dec. 27 and cleared the $676.325 overhead resistance. This suggests that the uptrend has resumed. The next target objective on the upside is $800.

The upsloping moving averages and the relative strength index (RSI) close to the overbought territory suggest that bulls are in command. This positive view will invalidate if the pair turns down and plummets below the $622.807 support.

XRP/USD

XRP is in a downtrend. The altcoin broke below the critical support at $0.435 on Dec. 23 and this intensified the selling, resulting in a sharp fall to $0.2132.


XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The downsloping 20-day EMA ($0.426) and the RSI in the negative territory suggest that bears have the upper hand.

When the sentiment is bearish, minor rallies are sold into and that is what happened on Dec. 25. The XRP/USD pair turned down from $0.384998, just above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the most recent leg of the decline.

However, the bulls are currently trying to keep the pair above the $0.25 support. If they succeed, the pair may remain range-bound between $0.25 and $0.38 for a few more days. The first sign of strength will be a break above the 20-day EMA.

LTC/USD

Litecoin (LTC) broke above a flag pattern and the overhead resistance at $124.1278 on Dec. 25, which indicated the resumption of the uptrend. The breakout of this setup has a target objective of $160.


LTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

However, the bears are not willing to throw in the towel as they are currently attempting to stall the up-move at the $140 overhead resistance. If they can sink and sustain the price below 124.1278, a drop to the 20-day EMA ($107) may be on the cards.

On the other hand, if the bulls can defend the $124.1278 level, it will suggest that this level has flipped to support. That could enhance the prospects of a break above the $140 to $145 overhead resistance zone.

The rising moving averages and the RSI near the overbought territory suggest that the path of least resistance is to the upside.

BCH/USD

The bulls are currently trying to propel Bitcoin Cash (BCH) above the $370 overhead resistance. If they succeed, it will be a huge positive because during the previous two attempts, the price had quickly reversed direction from this level.


BCH/USD daily chart. Source: TradingView

The upsloping moving averages and the RSI above 64 suggest that bulls are in command. If they can drive the price above $$370 and sustain the breakout, the BCH/USD pair could rise to $409 and then to $430.

On the contrary, if the bears again defend the $370 resistance and the price turns down sharply, it could keep the pair range-bound between $370 and $255 for a few more days.

DOT/USD

Polkadot (DOT) had been trading in a range between $3.53 and $5.60 for the past few weeks. The bulls have pushed the price above the $5.60 to $6.0857 overhead resistance zone today.


DOT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If the bulls can sustain the price above $6.0857, it will suggest the start of a new uptrend that could retest $6.8619 and then rally to $7.67. The gradually upsloping moving averages and the RSI above 68 suggest bulls have the upper hand.

The bears are likely to defend the $6.8619 level aggressively but if the bulls do not allow the price to dip below $6, it will suggest that the uptrend remains intact. This bullish view will be invalidated if the DOT/USD pair re-enters $5.60.

DA/USD

Cardano (ADA) rebounded off the $0.13 support on Dec. 24 and the bulls have been sustaining the price above the 20-day EMA ($0.154) since then. This is a positive sign as it prepares a launchpad to thrust the price above the $0.175 to $0.1826315 overhead resistance zone.


ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The RSI has risen into positive territory and the 20-day EMA has started to turn up gradually. This suggests that bulls are attempting to gain the upper hand.

If the bulls can push the price above the overhead resistance zone, the ADA/USD pair could resume the uptrend and rally to $0.22 and then to $0.235.

Contrary to this assumption, if the pair again turns down from $0.175, it could extend its stay inside the range for a few more days.

BNB/USD

The bulls are currently attempting to propel Binance Coin (BNB) above the $35.69 overhead resistance. If they succeed, the altcoin could resume the uptrend and rally to the all-time high at $39.5941.


BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bears are likely to mount a stiff resistance at the all-time high but the upsloping moving averages and the RSI in the positive territory suggest that bulls have the upper hand.

If the bulls can push the price above $39.5941, the BNB/USD pair could pick up momentum and start its journey towards $50.

This bullish view will be invalidated if the price turns down from the current levels and plummets below the 50-day SMA ($30). Such a move will suggest profit-booking at higher levels.

LINK/USD

Chainlink (LINK) plummeted to $8.05 on Dec. 23 but rebounded strongly from the lower levels as seen from the long tail on the day’s candlestick. The bulls again bought the dips on Dec. 24, indicating strong demand at lower levels.


LINK/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The failure of the bears to sustain the LINK/USD pair below $11.29 attracted buying from the bulls who pushed the price to $13.2448 on Dec. 27. However, the bears are in no mood to relent as they sold close to $13.28 as seen from the long wick on the candlestick.

Both moving averages have flattened out and the RSI is just below the midpoint, which suggests a balance between supply and demand.

The bulls may gain an upper hand if they push and sustain the price above the downtrend line. Conversely, a break below $10 will suggest advantage to the bears.

XLM/USD

The bulls are currently attempting to sustain Stellar Lumens (XLM) above the $0.14 support. However, any rise from the current levels could face selling at the downsloping 20-day EMA ($0.159) and then at $0.17.


XLM/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If the price turns down from the overhead resistance, it increases the likelihood of a break below $0.14. The next support on the downside is at $0.11 and then $0.08.

Conversely, if the bulls can push the price above $0.17, the XLM/USD pair may move up to the downtrend line. The sentiment is likely to remain negative as long as the price remains inside the descending triangle pattern.

A break above the downtrend line of the triangle will invalidate the bearish setup and that could result in a rally to $0.231655.

Market data is provided by HitBTC exchange.

Title: Price analysis 12/28: BTC, ETH, XRP, LTC, BCH, DOT, ADA, BNB, LINK, XLM
Sourced From: cointelegraph.com/news/price-analysis-12-28-btc-eth-xrp-ltc-bch-dot-ada-bnb-link-xlm
Published Date: Mon, 28 Dec 2020 17:38:26 +0000


Price analysis 12/28: BTC, ETH, XRP, LTC, BCH, DOT, ADA, BNB, LINK, XLM

Binance launches bilateral Bitcoin European options

Binance launches bilateral Bitcoin European options

Back in April, Binance signed up with the broadening cast of exchanges rolling out Bitcoin options trading with the launch of American-style BTC options contracts. Binances previous version of Bitcoin alternatives was also criticized for being one-sided as users were not able to “write” choices and pocket the premium. As a consequence, Binance alternatives were normally more pricey due to the failure to perform arbitrage.The European BTC options announcement is the newest from Binance in a hectic December.


Binance launches bilateral Bitcoin European options

Altseason and $30K in sight: 5 things to watch in Bitcoin as 2020 ends

Altseason and $30K in sight: 5 things to watch in Bitcoin as 2020 ends

Bitcoin (BTC) has had a week like no other, hitting fresh record highs of $28,400 and staying near the top — what’s next.

As markets return to digest a wild Christmas, Cointelegraph presents five factors set to help with Bitcoin price direction this week.

Gold surges as Trump signs stimulus bull

Markets have been spared a nightmare this week after U.S. President Donald Trump agreed to sign off on Congress’ $900 billion coronavirus stimulus bill.

Set to add a large amount of debt to the Federal Reserve’s existing mountain, the package includes various benefits for businesses but stops short of providing Americans with the same level of direct financial support seen in March.

Trump had said that the low direct payment amount of the second stimulus — $600 against $1,200 last time — meant that he could not condone it, but subsequently changed his mind.

Markets have thus begun a new week on a positive note, with slight gains seen on S&P 500 futures prior to the Wall St. open.

At the same time, gold has returned in style, with data showing that the precious metal is now on track for its biggest one-year gain in a decade.

Versus the end of November, XAU/USD is up $111 or 6.25%.


XAU/USD daily candle chart. Source: TradingView

“As President @realDonaldTrump vetoed just nine bills, the fewest number since Warren Harding, who served just two years, from 1921-1923,” gold bug and infamous Bitcoin naysayer Peter Schiff tweeted as the bill was signed.

“Not since Chester Arthur (1881-1885) has a president who served a full term vetoed fewer bills. You can’t drain the swamp by making it deeper.”

Regulations coming for mainstream Bitcoin

After striking a fresh tone with a wider audience over Christmas with runs to new all-time highs, Bitcoin may soon have to face the music with the establishment, sources warn.

Hitting $28,400 and capping monthly gains of 55%, Bitcoin is now firmly on regulators’ radar as its mainstream appeal heightens. Even for its proponents, the next year may prove to be a challenging time.

With outgoing Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin leaving his mark with an attempt to force new laws over noncustodial wallets, his replacement, Janet Yellen, may hardly be an improvement, they say.

“Generally, I think we have had challenges with the Dems — they prefer more regulation, more oversight,” Meltem Demirors, chief strategy officer at digital-asset manager CoinShares, told Bloomberg on Sunday.

“I am a bit worried about the direction things are trending.”

As always in the U.S., the patchwork of political allegiances means that any assault may be tempered by the presence of crypto-friendly figures elsewhere. The new chair of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), Elad Roisman, is considered to be a fan.

Bitcoin rebuttal at $28,400 “very healthy” — analyst

Concentrating on the latest Bitcoin spot market action, Monday is shaping up to be a major test for bulls given the momentum seen over the weekend.

After hitting all-time highs of $28,400 on Sunday, Bitcoin saw a pullback which many had already expected.

“#Bitcoin undergoing a very healthy correction as it went quite vertical. Might be the temporary top for now,” Cointelegraph Markets analyst Michaël van de Poppe summarized on social media.

“What’s next? Consolidation, sideways action, less volatility. Giving space to the rest of the markets to pace up. $BTC pairs doing well.”

BTC/USD hourly candle chart. Source: TradingView

Van de Poppe is eyeing the potential for altcoins to begin their response to Bitcoin’s recent glories, arguing that signs are already beginning to appear that “altseason” is around the corner.

“After #Bitcoin finishes the run (and it is quite vertical), the money will flow towards large caps. And after that towards mid-caps and small caps,” he continued.

“Altcoins are not dead, the money flow is still the same.”

While floundering against BTC, some popular altcoins are still delivering significant returns in USD terms, with market leader Ether (ETH) trading above $700 for the first time since May 2018. Versus its lows of $113 in March, ETH/USD is now up 530%.


ETH and BTC vs. USD performance YTD. Source: Digital Assets Data

Record Bitcoin futures gap

Bitcoin is contending with the largest “gap” to ever appear on futures markets this week.

Data from CME Group’s futures shows that on Friday, trading ended at around $23,825. Monday began with a wick to lows of $26,500 from opening levels, with the difference ranking as the biggest ever seen in a weekend.

These so-called futures “gaps” refer to the void between Friday and Monday trading sessions, and the BTC/USD spot price has a habit of returning to “fill” them later on.

In recent weeks, however, this trend has weakened, with gaps remaining between $16,900 and $19,500 which have only been partially filled.

This has in turn given rise to theories among analysts — including Cointelegraph’s Van de Poppe — that Bitcoin could still reverse downwards to revisit sub-$20,000 levels just long enough to take care of its unfinished business.

Should that not in fact occur, analysts may instead need to come to terms with the loss of what was once a solid indicator of near-term Bitcoin price trajectory.


CME Bitcoin futures chart showing gap. Source: TradingView

Stock-to-flow forecasts the high

On the topic of price trajectory, the latest action puts Bitcoin at odds with one of its best-known and most reliable price models — stock-to-flow.

After rising to hit exactly what the model’s demands last week, the weekend ensured that BTC/USD outperformed, with Sunday’s retracement to the mid $26,000 range ensuring compliance swiftly returned.

As noted by both its creator PlanB and Saifedean Ammous, author of “The Bitcoin Standard,” Bitcoin is overall staying highly faithful to what stock-to-flow requires on an almost daily basis.

“Bitcoin’s price continues to track the predicted value from @100trillionUSD ‘s stock-to-flow model with astonishing precision,” Ammous summarized.


Bitcoin stock-to-flow chart. Source: Digitalik

Going forward, the model’s various incarnations demand price levels of anywhere between $100,000 and $576,000 between now and the end of the current halving cycle in 2024.

Title: Altseason and $30K in sight: 5 things to watch in Bitcoin as 2020 ends
Sourced From: cointelegraph.com/news/altseason-and-30k-in-sight-5-things-to-watch-in-bitcoin-as-2020-ends
Published Date: Mon, 28 Dec 2020 08:06:59 +0000


Altseason and $30K in sight: 5 things to watch in Bitcoin as 2020 ends

Advantages to Rolling Over Your 403b Retirement Savings Plan to a Gold IRA

The Benefits of Precious Metals: 403b to Gold IRA Rollover https://youtu.be/IUWEWW65nnQ Transferring your 403b retirement savings plan into...